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Shares in paint maker Sherwin-Williams (SHW) are likely to remain in focus after jumping in extended trading Friday following news that the company will be included in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Sherwin-Williams will replace chemicals giant Dow Inc. (DOW) in the price-weighted index, which tracks 30 large companies. S&P Dow Jones Indices also announced that AI investor favorite Nvidia (NVDA) will replace struggling chipmaker Intel (INTC), with the changes taking effect prior to the start of trading on Friday.
Sherwin-Williams shares have gained around 15% since the start of the year as of Fridayās close, outpacing the DJIAās return of about 12% over the same period. Although the company missed earnings estimates in its latest quarter, it has surpassed Wall Streetās expectations in the majority of the past 20 quarters, according to FactSet data, showcasing the paint makerās long-term profitability.
The stock rose 3.4% to $370 in after-hours trading on Friday.
Below, we review the technicals on Sherwin-Williams' weekly chart and identify important price levels that investors may be watching.
Since topping out in late 2021, Sherwin-Williams shares carved out a textbook cup and handle, a bullish chart pattern that resembles a cup with a handle and signals a continuation of the stockās longer-term uptrend.
Indeed, the shares broke out above the formation in mid-August, but have recently retraced towards the initial breakout point, potentially leading to a retest of the pattern's upper trendline.
Letās use technical analysis to identify two important support levels on Sherwin-Williams chart and forecast a measured move price target.
The first support level to eye sits around $348, where the shares may encounter buying interest near the cup and handle's upper trendline, which may have flipped from a region of prior resistance into future support.
A failure by bulls to defend this important technical level could see the stock revisit lower support at the $283 level, currently just above the closely watched 200-week moving average.
Investors may seek entry points near a trendline in this area connecting a range of comparable price action on the chart between May 2021 and June this year.
To forecast a bullish price target, we can use the measured move technique, also known by chart watchers as the measuring principle.
This works by calculating the depth of the cup portion of the pattern and adding that amount to the formation's upper trendline. For instance, we add $155 to $348, which projects a measured move target of $503, an area where investors could take profits, especially given its proximity to a psychological round number.
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